Automotive Division Call
hosted by Liberum
Peter Schiefer, Division President Automotive (ATV)
5 October 2020
Market position and
short- and mid-term outlook
Infineon’s automotive semiconductor revenue (in USD for CY; based on market figures by Strategy Analytics)
Infineon has been growing by 10% p.a. in automotive semis over
the last two decades and hence steadily gaining market share
740
1818
1307
2270
2890
4210
4987
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
revenue
Infineon International Rectifier Cypress
[USD m]
Source: Strategy Analytics: Automotive Semiconductor Vendor Market Shares. 2001 through 2020
CAGR
(00-18)
: +10.1%
4157
830
#2
#1
13.4%
7.9% − 11.2%
#3
6.7%
market position
market share
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.
Infineon’s top market position is built on system competence based
on an industry-leading product portfolio
› New #1 in the total market post acquisition of Cypress
› Solid #1 in power despite xEV subsidies cut in China in H2 CY19
› Undisputed #1 in automotive NOR Flash memory
› Fostering #2 in sensors (from 10.4%
CY12
to 13.5%
CY19
)
› Significant market share gain in microcontroller – both organically
(strong demand for AURIX™) and via Cypress acquisition
11.3%
8.7%
8.1%
7.6%
Infineon
NXP
Renesas
TI
STMicro
Automotive semiconductors (2019 total market: $37.2bn)
6.7%
7.0%
8.0%
13.5%
14.1%
Melexis
NXP
ON Semi
Infineon
Bosch
Sensors
Source: Strategy Analytics: Automotive Semiconductor Vendor Market Shares v2. May 2020. The market shares shown here are the combined market shares of Infineon and Cypress based on their individual figures.
6.6%
9.8%
27.0%
27.2%
Microchip
TI
Infineon
Renesas
NXP
16.2%
Microcontrollers
Power semiconductors
5.4%
8.2%
9.1%
13.9%
25.5%
ON Semi
TI
Bosch
STMicro
Infineon
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.
Market recovery expected to continue across all regions; high
demand for xEV in Europe; L1/L2/L2+ penetration on schedule
Market Outlook for Q4 CY20 Market Outlook for CY21
Car units
xEV
ADAS/AD
› Continued recovery of car sales and production › Y-Y recovery with unit growth at mid-teens %
› Strong momentum in Europe
› Some recovery in the US and China
› No major change in OEMs’ plans in near-term
› L2 growth to continue
› Further increase in L2 penetration expected
› L2+ shipments at low volumes
› Incentives and CO2regulations should keep
demand high; especially in Europe
› Improving consumer sentiment around
sustainability theme
› Steady investments in EV charging infra-structure
further lowering reservation towards EVs
Source: Infineon; based on or includes content supplied by IHS Markit, Automotive Group: Light Vehicle Production Forecast. September 2020.
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.
After nearly 20% y-y decline globally in CY20 due to COVID-19,
all regions are forecast to snap back in CY21
Light vehicle production (year-over-year growth)
North America (16.3m units in 2019) Europe (21.1m units in 2019)
Greater China (24.7m units in 2019)
RoW (13.7m units in 2019)
World (88.9m units in 2019)
Japan / Korea (13.1m units in 2019)
2019 2020 2021 2021-2025
2019 2020 2021 2021-2025
Source: Based on or includes content supplied by IHS Markit, Automotive Group: Light Vehicle Production Forecast. September 2020.
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.
-3.8%
-20.9%
17.6%
1.8% p.a.
-3.8%
-24.1%
16.7%
2.5% p.a.
-8.1%
-9.1%
6.3%
4.7% p.a.
-0.7%
-17.1%
7.2%
1.5% p.a.
-9.6%
-31.2%
24.5%
8.1% p.a.
-5.6%
-19.4%
13.2%
3.8% p.a.
Trends toward electrification of cars remain unchanged; driven by
more stringent legal guidelines
Passenger car CO2emission development and regional regulations CO2emission by degree of electrification
120
102
84
28
0 0
ICE 48 V
MHEV
FHEV PHEV BEV FCEV
CO
2
emission (g/km
)
-15%
-30% -77%
-100% -100%
› EU continues towards stringent emission
standards
› Recently, the governor of California signed an
executive order mandating that all new cars
to be sold in California from 2035 must be
zero-emission vehicles
Source: The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT): Passenger vehicle fuel economy. May 2020.
0
50
100
150
200
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
US Japan China EU
enacted target
historical performance
-15% vs 2021
-37.5% vs 2021
US (2026): 108g/km
Japan (2030):
73.5g/km
EU (2030): 59g/km
China (2025): 93.4g/km
CO
2
emission values (g/km; normalized to NEDC
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.
CO2emission: Tank-to-wheel
The longer-term trend towards xEV is unchanged; most likely even
accelerating due to incentive programs and green deals
Car production by fuel type
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032
ICE Mild Hybrids Full & Plug-in Hybrids and BEVs Fuel Cell
Source: Based on or includes content supplied by IHS Markit, Automotive Group: Alternative propulsion forecast. July 2020.
xEV penetration: >25% by 2023
xEV penetration: >50% by 2027
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2020-10-05 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2020. All rights reserved.